Wednesday, 3 August 2016

266% increase in 20 years in Falkirk – interesting, very interesting

You find me in a reflective mood today as I want to talk about the future of investing in property in Falkirk. The truth is that we have got fat and lethargic, with many people having mistaken the ever rising Falkirk (and in fact the whole of the UK) property market since the 1960’s as the eternal gift that kept giving as property prices constantly rose and doubled every five to seven years.

The days of making money from property as easy as falling off a log, like taking candy from a baby are sadly over my Falkirk Property Blog reading friends
With George Osborne and John Swinney having decided now is the time to milk the ‘Golden Cow’ of UK’s private landlords, with changes in taxation for buy to let property, and the UK having voted to leave the EU, many pundits are predicting the end of buy to let as we know it. However, it is still possible to make a reasonable, profitable and safe return on property with these changes. You see, I have always seen investing in the Falkirk buy to let market (as I would anywhere in the UK), as I might see Mother Nature, creating some truly wonderful stunning warm weather but at the same time, she will bite, creating catastrophic situations such as snowstorms and hurricanes.  You need to study the market, take advice and opinions from many people and then decide what the proverbial property weather will be … remember, tenants will always want a roof over their head and I don’t see the Scottish Government building the millions of houses required to house them?

Nobody knows the future, and yes people can predict but I wouldn’t be afraid of this change ..... because as a famous French proverb says (I told you I was a reflective mood today), ‘the more things change, the more they stay the same’.  I mean, no one could have predicted how the property market has changed in Falkirk over the past few years? Fifteen years ago, 31,692 households (meaning 60.5% of property) were owned, 15,513 (or 29.6%) were rented from the Council and only 1,412 households were privately rented (meaning 2.7% of property was rented out by private landlords). Roll the clocks on and the change has been seismic ….. 36,640 of properties in Falkirk are now home-owners (64.7% of a higher number of properties in total), only 12,716 or 22.5% are rented from the Council (a huge fall of 29.6%) and the jump in private renting has been out of this world, as 4,124 properties are now privately rented, proportionally 7.3%).

Also, if you had asked someone in 1996 to predict what would happen to property values over the proceeding 20 years (ie between 1996 and 2016), they might have predicted similar growth to the growth experienced over the previous 20 years (ie between 1976 and 1996), which was a very impressive 351.55%. Yes, property values in Falkirk have increased over the last 20 years (between 1996 and 2016), but by a more modest 265.94% (and most of that can be attributed to house price growth between 2000 and 2006).

The property market is constantly changing and buy to let for too long has been heavily dependent solely on house price growth, where yield has been almost forgotten.  I see the changes in tax and landlord & tenant law and the uncertaitly caused by the EU vote in a different perspective to the doom-mongers and see it as bringing many opportunities. You might need to change your buy to let benchmarks, your approach to financing or even consider places other than Falkirk in which to invest your money, but this will shine a light on investing in properties with healthier yields and create more realistic long term buy to let opportunities, instead of short term growth bets and wagers ..... this is what The Bank of England wants.

The advice I give to my landlords, and you my blog reading friends is this: these changes will make some landlords panic, meaning competition for decent Falkirk buy to let bargains will reduce as fear of change kicks in and amateur investors flee the market. These opportunities will provide a more stable platform for knowledgeable and wise Falkirk buy to let landlords to thrive in. 

If you would like to pick our brains about buying for investment purposes, please call me on 01324 469840, pop into my office at 6 Vicar Street, Falkirk or email me on

A few more interesting articles about the Falkirk property market:

No comments:

Post a Comment